Milky-Coffee
0x5bba73bf8cc330996cc3e60473b01bca79366daf
- Realised P&L
- $63.63
- Volume
- $14.7k
- Markets traded
- 46
- Open portfolio
- $410.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded46
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)95.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration88.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump goes to space in 2026? · No | 0.980 | 0.978 | $361.68 | −$0.93 |
| Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.968 | $28.47 | +$0.06 |
| Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? · No | 0.370 | 0.375 | $20.27 | +$0.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$23.03at 0.232Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$9.31at 0.990Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.98at 0.989Trump out as President by June 30?
- +$4.19at 0.980Will Lautaro Martinez be the top goal scorer in the 2025-26 Serie A season?
- +$2.93at 0.994Trump out as President by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 19:23 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | SELL | 0.956 | $47.80 |
| 09-11 10:28 | Will AC Milan qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Champions League? | BUY | 0.3699999935 | $20.00 |
| 09-07 19:38 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $98.00 |
| 09-07 19:37 | Trump goes to space in 2026? | BUY | 0.98 | $147.00 |
| 08-18 13:52 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $49.75 |
| 08-18 13:51 | Putin out as President of Russia by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 08-18 13:50 | Will Plasma reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $28.41 |
| 08-02 11:30 | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BUY | 0.95 | $47.50 |
| 07-01 06:48 | New "Stranger Things" episode released by July 31? | BUY | 0.994999992 | $30.00 |
| 07-01 06:47 | Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.83 | $8.30 |
| 06-23 19:07 | Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 06-23 19:06 | Will Uzbekistan reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? | BUY | 0.999 | $199.80 |
| 06-20 14:34 | Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.71 | $7.10 |
| 06-20 14:33 | Will Jordan reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.99 | $950.40 |
| 06-06 12:25 | Trump out as President by June 30? | BUY | 0.989 | $899.99 |