Polikusr
0x5bb71e82353f3f450d4a6a0a4a3966df89d95d3d
- Realised P&L
- $-90.72
- Volume
- $737.30
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $3.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-12.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)69.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31? · Yes | 0.271 | 0.043 | $3.93 | −$21.17 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the June Meeting? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.88 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.29at 0.431Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$3.10at 0.394Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$2.94at 0.342US forces enter Iran by March 31?
- +$1.82at 0.521Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
- +$1.76at 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-26 12:00 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | BUY | 0.6391402487 | $49.35 |
| 03-26 11:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | SELL | 0.74 | $1.55 |
| 03-26 11:36 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET | BUY | 0.4699998778 | $0.97 |
| 03-26 11:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | SELL | 0.86 | $1.87 |
| 03-26 11:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $0.97 |
| 03-25 21:49 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | SELL | 0.2 | $4.35 |
| 03-25 21:28 | Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March? | BUY | 0.2299999692 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24? | SELL | 0.13 | $5.16 |
| 03-24 12:34 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.8299999967 | $9.90 |
| 03-24 09:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 24? | BUY | 0.27 | $7.94 |
| 03-24 09:30 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.7099999702 | $5.00 |
| 03-24 09:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | SELL | 0.97 | $1.51 |
| 03-24 09:25 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET | BUY | 0.63 | $0.97 |
| 03-23 21:14 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $1.98 |
| 03-23 21:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998285 | $0.97 |