PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

xoda78

0x5bb59bb658a2f7ace3bac1afd8ec91c16e37844e

Realised P&L
$4.3k
Volume
$119.8k
Markets traded
1,816
Open portfolio
$164.85

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
CautionMarkets traded1,816
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes0.2790.230$164.85−$35.15
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · No0.2060.000$0.00−$218.00
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? · No0.1460.000$0.00−$116.31

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-30 15:58Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.4381273318$200.00
10-30 15:53Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.07$22.96
10-30 15:45Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?SELL0.07$40.14
10-30 15:45Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.1997457237$100.00
10-30 15:45Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.81$327.73
10-30 15:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?BUY0.7075285434$286.28
10-30 15:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?SELL0.001$0.45
10-30 15:33Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M?BUY0.0872002274$50.00
10-30 15:32Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.26$13.15
10-30 15:32Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M?SELL0.4232838729$317.22
10-30 13:27Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M?BUY0.2199999998$100.00
10-26 18:17Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2819999998$291.33
09-29 16:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.2790373212$200.00
09-29 16:58Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?SELL0.18$189.47
09-29 16:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?BUY0.19$200.00