xoda78
0x5bb59bb658a2f7ace3bac1afd8ec91c16e37844e
- Realised P&L
- $4.3k
- Volume
- $119.8k
- Markets traded
- 1,816
- Open portfolio
- $164.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded1,816
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.279 | 0.230 | $164.85 | −$35.15 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? · No | 0.206 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$218.00 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? · No | 0.146 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$116.31 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.6kat 0.453Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?
- +$1.3kat 0.350LAPTOP FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$995.00at 0.250Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
- +$781.48at 0.660Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$539.99at 0.350Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-30 15:58 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.4381273318 | $200.00 |
| 10-30 15:53 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.07 | $22.96 |
| 10-30 15:45 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | SELL | 0.07 | $40.14 |
| 10-30 15:45 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.1997457237 | $100.00 |
| 10-30 15:45 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.81 | $327.73 |
| 10-30 15:33 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | BUY | 0.7075285434 | $286.28 |
| 10-30 15:33 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.45 |
| 10-30 15:33 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $60M? | BUY | 0.0872002274 | $50.00 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.26 | $13.15 |
| 10-30 15:32 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $50M? | SELL | 0.4232838729 | $317.22 |
| 10-30 13:27 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $40M? | BUY | 0.2199999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-26 18:17 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2819999998 | $291.33 |
| 09-29 16:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.2790373212 | $200.00 |
| 09-29 16:58 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.18 | $189.47 |
| 09-29 16:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.19 | $200.00 |