ChallengerSpecialist
0x5ba61105b276b4e793d0b5a5d773b78186720f07
- Realised P&L
- $-395.1k
- Volume
- $16.32M
- Markets traded
- 1,869
- Open portfolio
- $7.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,869
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov · Hubert Hurkacz | 0.617 | 0.645 | $7.9k | +$338.47 |
| Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina · Nikoloz Basilashvili | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.3k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$50.4kat 0.160Will Werder Bremen win on 2025-11-07?
- +$36.9kat 0.631Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musetti
- +$33.6kat 0.329ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaur
- +$25.2kat 0.160Hellenic Championship: Stan Wawrinka vs Botic van de Zandschulp
- +$20.0kat 0.500Bitcoin Up or Down - November 14, 5PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 11:38 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.61 | $3.05 |
| 09-28 11:37 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.64 | $89.29 |
| 09-28 11:37 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.63 | $266.33 |
| 09-28 11:24 | Chengdu Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.6 | $3.5k |
| 09-28 10:57 | Chengdu Open: Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina | BUY | 0.1277367171 | $172.14 |
| 09-28 09:09 | Hangzhou Open: Kyrian Jacquet vs Andrey Rublev | BUY | 0.73 | $5.0k |
| 09-27 23:30 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | SELL | 0.69 | $2.1k |
| 09-27 21:23 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.2k |
| 09-27 16:07 | Chargers vs. Bills | BUY | 0.76 | $4.7k |
| 09-27 15:44 | Will Norway win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.5k |
| 09-27 12:04 | Hangzhou Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Coleman Wong | BUY | 0.8 | $350.11 |
| 09-27 08:34 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.72 | $504.00 |
| 09-27 08:23 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.72 | $2.1k |
| 09-27 08:10 | Chengdu Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Denis Shapovalov | BUY | 0.71 | $437.98 |
| 09-26 18:36 | Will England win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.73 | $3.0k |