0x5b9623a82a7d7ccc09d0c6c24d3a1eda31009fd6
- Realised P&L
- not known
- Volume
- not known
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $1.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- Not knownEdge per dollar—
- No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration51.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.108Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31?
- +$171.57at 0.478Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?
- +$150.94at 0.164Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?
- +$122.70at 0.357Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advance
- +$103.08at 0.331Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 02:10 | Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3599999997 | $50.81 |
| 10-31 02:09 | Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2799999993 | $50.00 |
| 10-31 02:05 | Will the Democratic Party win the VA-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 02:00 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 01:59 | Will the Republican Party win the VA-05 House seat? | BUY | 0.5899999999 | $114.00 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.2399999998 | $100.00 |
| 10-31 01:57 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.7199999999 | $510.00 |
| 10-16 17:53 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | SELL | 0.9792496242 | $2.9k |
| 10-15 21:00 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.1049999972 | $2.66 |
| 10-15 20:59 | Katie Zacharia out as Press Secretary by October 31? | BUY | 0.1044947064 | $310.20 |
| 09-21 20:14 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $324.70 |
| 08-21 20:27 | Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | BUY | 0.1672550158 | $452.56 |
| 07-19 21:16 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | SELL | 0.9975 | $154.26 |
| 07-19 17:40 | Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.32 | $49.49 |
| 07-15 19:56 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3299999967 | $50.00 |