bartondenise
0x5b921cb11912c6afb961d54219230da064e13614
- Realised P&L
- $-7.09
- Volume
- $10.3k
- Markets traded
- 19
- Open portfolio
- $5.16
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded19
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? · No | 0.990 | 1.000 | $1.92 | +$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.87 | +$0.00 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $1.37 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.02at 0.989Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?
- +$0.02at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?
- +$0.01at 0.993Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 20?
- +$0.01at 0.994Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?
- +$0.00at 0.999Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.99 | $1.90 |
| 07-02 14:08 | Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.37 |
| 06-26 21:56 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27? | BUY | 0.998 | $1.87 |
| 05-17 22:18 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | SELL | 0.0028945344 | $0.32 |
| 05-16 21:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18? | BUY | 0.012969669 | $1.45 |
| 04-23 19:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on April 24? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.34 |
| 03-02 08:41 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3? | BUY | 0.9909999966 | $2.30 |
| 02-20 06:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20? | BUY | 0.9939999961 | $1.03 |
| 02-12 09:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.54 |
| 02-10 09:37 | Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10? | BUY | 0.9889999985 | $1.96 |
| 01-30 07:46 | Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:32 | Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:32 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.994 | $999.45 |
| 01-30 07:20 | Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.995 | $1.0k |
| 01-30 07:17 | Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.0k |