PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

bartondenise

0x5b921cb11912c6afb961d54219230da064e13614

Realised P&L
$-7.09
Volume
$10.3k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$5.16

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration35.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample16 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28? · No0.9901.000$1.92+$0.02
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27? · No0.9981.000$1.87+$0.00
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3? · No0.9981.000$1.37+$0.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-23 13:57Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $94,000 on September 28?BUY0.99$1.90
07-02 14:08Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $2,000 on July 3?BUY0.998$1.37
06-26 21:56Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,800 and $1,900 on June 27?BUY0.998$1.87
05-17 22:18Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?SELL0.0028945344$0.32
05-16 21:04Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?BUY0.012969669$1.45
04-23 19:17Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,000 on April 24?BUY0.999$1.34
03-02 08:41Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 3?BUY0.9909999966$2.30
02-20 06:17Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on February 20?BUY0.9939999961$1.03
02-12 09:49Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on February 12?BUY0.999$1.54
02-10 09:37Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,800 on February 10?BUY0.9889999985$1.96
01-30 07:46Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL0.998$1.0k
01-30 07:32Will Alaves win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY0.999$1.0k
01-30 07:32Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.994$999.45
01-30 07:20Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.995$1.0k
01-30 07:17Will the Memphis Grizzlies win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL0.997$1.0k