PolyBot

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Traders

tonholo

0x5b9186636b7d12983ff18218c915ef4641725545

Realised P&L
$-857.52
Volume
$36.1k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$13.25

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration63.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample2 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration36.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-08 17:59Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0188498$56.55
04-08 17:55Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.017$3.42
02-02 16:39Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.063$10.83
01-28 19:22Will the Bank of Brazil lower the Selic rate after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.151$148.73
01-28 19:21No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?BUY0.1473819248$337.76
01-26 17:35Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.067451663$111.52
01-26 14:13Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.065$22.75
01-25 22:32Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.02$29.98
01-25 22:13Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.023$34.50
01-23 19:08Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0568981601$7.51
01-23 10:23Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.0673667981$109.38
01-16 19:09Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.243$6.08
01-16 18:56Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.119$19.23
01-15 15:50Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?BUY0.2632513398$29.47
12-05 19:09Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.18$30.60