MargaretEvans4554
0x5b8d1e51f45a46e45403807d53dd96e3159324ef
- Realised P&L
- $32.51
- Volume
- $181.2k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $253.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.090 | $101.97 | −$113.30 |
| New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over | 0.110 | 0.150 | $96.45 | +$25.72 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.280 | 0.987 | $54.26 | +$38.86 |
| Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.340 | 0.560 | $1.12 | +$0.44 |
| Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.94 |
| Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$334.53at 0.190Will "Anxiety - Doechii" win Best Music Video at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?
- +$266.36at 0.268Will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by December 28?
- +$243.96at 0.806Will USDT market cap hit $200B before 2027?
- +$162.25at 0.750Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 3.5
- +$139.92at 0.760Virginia Tech Hokies vs. Clemson Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 15:41 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.76 | $174.04 |
| 06-15 15:00 | Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | SELL | 0.17 | $4.25 |
| 04-27 09:33 | Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit? | SELL | 0.53 | $375.24 |
| 04-27 09:32 | Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit? | SELL | 0.53 | $393.26 |
| 04-23 08:14 | Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit? | BUY | 0.5499125085 | $804.52 |
| 04-13 16:17 | Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | SELL | 0.87 | $609.00 |
| 04-13 11:54 | Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $183.20 |
| 04-13 10:43 | Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $616.00 |
| 04-13 10:10 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $405.03 |
| 04-13 09:44 | Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | SELL | 0.63 | $597.87 |
| 04-13 09:16 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | SELL | 0.56 | $352.24 |
| 04-13 09:16 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | SELL | 0.56 | $176.96 |
| 04-13 07:25 | Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw? | BUY | 0.79 | $746.55 |
| 04-13 07:08 | Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final? | BUY | 0.64 | $607.36 |
| 04-13 05:57 | Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $399.16 |