PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MargaretEvans4554

0x5b8d1e51f45a46e45403807d53dd96e3159324ef

Realised P&L
$32.51
Volume
$181.2k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$253.80

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration23.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes0.1900.090$101.97$113.30
New England Revolution vs. Houston Dynamo: O/U 4.5 · Over0.1100.150$96.45+$25.72
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? · No0.2800.987$54.26+$38.86
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.3400.560$1.12+$0.44
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$5.94
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.6100.000$0.00$1.56

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-15 15:41Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?SELL0.76$174.04
06-15 15:00Will Lebanon join the Abraham Accords before 2027?SELL0.17$4.25
04-27 09:33Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?SELL0.53$375.24
04-27 09:32Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?SELL0.53$393.26
04-23 08:14Will Trump say "Keir" or "Starmer" during King Charles visit?BUY0.5499125085$804.52
04-13 16:17Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?SELL0.87$609.00
04-13 11:54Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026?BUY0.8$183.20
04-13 10:43Will there be at least 12500 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?BUY0.88$616.00
04-13 10:10Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?SELL0.69$405.03
04-13 09:44Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?SELL0.63$597.87
04-13 09:16Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?SELL0.56$352.24
04-13 09:16Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?SELL0.56$176.96
04-13 07:25Will CA River Plate vs. CA Tucumán end in a draw?BUY0.79$746.55
04-13 07:08Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?BUY0.64$607.36
04-13 05:57Internet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?BUY0.68$399.16