MoonArack
0x5b84745dfe5a41b65d39de07e32b1dcfc710ccf2
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $307.2k
- Markets traded
- 133
- Open portfolio
- $115.09
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded133
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$557.00at 0.370Over $400M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$409.00at 0.010Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
- +$310.19at 0.211EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$298.19at 0.090Over $300M committed to the Monad public sale?
- +$215.24at 0.200UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-08 12:31 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.15 | $14.10 |
| 06-08 12:30 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.78 |
| 06-08 11:48 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.0875575221 | $9.89 |
| 06-08 11:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 8? | BUY | 0.034 | $2.90 |
| 06-07 12:44 | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? | BUY | 0.05 | $7.17 |
| 05-30 17:28 | Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.8 | $8.80 |
| 05-16 12:42 | UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.38 | $70.30 |
| 05-15 08:10 | Will Figure's F.03 robots run between 8 and 50 hours without failure? | SELL | 0.09 | $2.70 |
| 05-08 18:26 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5779557 | $115.59 |
| 04-30 11:46 | US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.002 | $6.00 |
| 04-29 11:22 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.50 |
| 04-11 22:07 | UFC 327: Jirí Procházka vs. Carlos Ulberg (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.5 | $48.50 |
| 04-09 20:28 | Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale? | SELL | 0.093 | $4.18 |
| 04-09 20:28 | Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale? | SELL | 0.094 | $0.95 |
| 04-09 19:41 | Over $3M committed to the Fluent public sale? | SELL | 0.42 | $17.56 |