0x5b7ea093fa9bae916f2ae0c9543423b2b5b51d5c
- Realised P&L
- $1.20
- Volume
- $350.00
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $60.79
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration49.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)55.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.20at 0.350Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
- +$3.81at 0.200Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?
- +$1.32at 0.380Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
- +$0.18at 0.880China x India military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will Ian Noel Smyth win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-16 22:40 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.32 | $2.24 |
| 06-05 07:54 | Aziz Akhannouch out as Morocco Prime Minister by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.855 | $4.28 |
| 06-02 11:41 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.24 | $4.80 |
| 05-29 06:45 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.88 | $7.92 |
| 05-29 06:45 | China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.08 |
| 05-25 00:56 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.913 | $4.57 |
| 05-25 00:56 | Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? | BUY | 0.087 | $1.22 |
| 05-25 00:56 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.73 | $9.49 |
| 04-27 05:21 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.81 | $16.20 |
| 04-27 05:21 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.19 | $1.33 |
| 04-24 17:38 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 04-22 16:24 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.8 | $5.60 |
| 04-22 16:23 | Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 04-22 16:23 | Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? | BUY | 0.931 | $5.59 |
| 04-15 03:58 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.20 |