0x5b7968298bd5cc17093041300a1b853d3817e184
0x5b7968298bd5cc17093041300a1b853d3817e184
- Realised P&L
- $-137.18
- Volume
- $5.6k
- Markets traded
- 61
- Open portfolio
- $40.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded61
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? · Yes | 0.440 | 0.435 | $19.77 | −$0.23 |
| Will China PR win on 2026-10-02? · Yes | 0.024 | 0.025 | $10.63 | +$0.63 |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.450 | $9.78 | −$0.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$44.88at 0.187Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET
- +$44.58at 0.108UFC 331: Gable Steveson vs. Sean Sharaf (Heavyweight, Prelims)
- +$43.14at 0.321Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
- +$34.41at 0.578Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET
- +$32.37at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 03:39 | Will Romania win on 2026-09-28? | BUY | 0.4399999947 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 03:38 | Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.459999988 | $10.00 |
| 09-28 03:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $61.88 |
| 09-28 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 03:16 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.41 | $49.70 |
| 09-28 03:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.3299999979 | $40.00 |
| 09-28 03:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | SELL | 0.13 | $4.48 |
| 09-28 03:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $20.00 |
| 09-28 01:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BUY | 0.7199999942 | $30.00 |
| 09-28 00:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET | BUY | 0.2099999992 | $50.00 |
| 09-28 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET | BUY | 0.18 | $0.66 |
| 09-27 20:05 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $10.00 |
| 09-27 19:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $31.42 |
| 09-27 19:31 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET | BUY | 0.629999995 | $20.00 |