InsCode
0x5b75776fdf7be9d2529c9f4ace7f58c07b84f7b3
- Realised P&L
- $-25.35
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $40.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $40.98 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.65at 0.990Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?
- +$1.40at 0.972Biden drops out by July 4?
- +$1.30at 0.979Barron Trump talks about $DJT by Friday?
- +$1.26at 0.954Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party?
- +$1.06at 0.951Fed rate cut by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 02:22 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at >$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Sep 21 – Sep 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.96 |
| 08-27 09:08 | Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $9.00-$10 on the final day of trading of the week of Aug 24 – Aug 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $36.93 |
| 07-08 02:33 | Will Claude go down 0-2 times in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $74.92 |
| 06-15 09:43 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $43.82 |
| 06-01 08:27 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.995 | $36.81 |
| 05-01 07:19 | Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $57.94 |
| 03-16 08:50 | Will there be at least 2000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | BUY | 0.99 | $21.53 |
| 02-24 13:50 | Will Amazon (AMZN) close above $300 end of February? | BUY | 0.997 | $49.37 |
| 02-11 07:11 | Will the US next strike Iran on February 10, 2026 (ET)? | BUY | 0.999 | $167.33 |
| 01-20 03:22 | Will To Lam be elected General Secretary of the Vietnamese Communist Party? | BUY | 0.9539999996 | $26.10 |
| 12-10 08:39 | Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 10? | BUY | 0.995 | $29.95 |
| 11-21 09:10 | Will Polymarket US go live in 2025? | BUY | 0.296908046 | $15.50 |
| 10-17 09:57 | Will Vladimir Putin be the first leader out in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.49 |
| 09-30 14:02 | Russian strike on Poland by September 30? | BUY | 0.996 | $211.64 |
| 08-08 02:56 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 15? | BUY | 0.9829999964 | $20.00 |