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0x5b748d40c7fdc8b257acecb9b25ca1005e80fdfd
- Realised P&L
- $73.91
- Volume
- $8.8k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $238.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.170 | $238.00 | +$28.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$89.00at 0.600US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
- +$6.25at 0.805Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?
- +$4.90at 0.937US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.943Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
- +$-4.03at 0.816Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-08 08:25 | Will Somaliland join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.15 | $209.01 |
| 05-27 06:55 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.86 | $258.00 |
| 05-15 01:37 | Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | SELL | 0.8240780616 | $263.92 |
| 05-11 02:25 | Will Troels Lund Poulsen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.805 | $149.13 |
| 05-09 11:36 | Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.943 | $235.75 |
| 04-21 02:27 | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.58 | $696.00 |
| 04-16 02:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.828 | $344.30 |
| 04-09 12:23 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.847 | $677.60 |