SamuelZaur9439
0x5b68eba8c6e63b1dd7bb3b89d2d2bf5421f372c7
- Realised P&L
- $954.86
- Volume
- $12.2k
- Markets traded
- 48
- Open portfolio
- $215.26
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar7.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded48
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)81.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.976 | 0.994 | $47.97 | +$0.87 |
| Will the Republican Party win the TX-26 House seat? · Yes | 0.955 | 0.985 | $46.64 | +$1.40 |
| ECB rate cut in 2026? · No | 0.950 | 0.975 | $46.24 | +$1.16 |
| Will Monero hit $1000 in 2026? · No | 0.930 | 0.825 | $37.25 | −$4.74 |
| Will Russia capture Havrylivka by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.944 | 0.947 | $37.16 | +$0.10 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$565.04at 0.440Orioles vs. Red Sox
- +$557.13at 0.510Dream vs Storm
- +$526.90at 0.450Brewers vs. Cubs
- +$525.46at 0.530Braves vs. Marlins
- +$164.00at 0.600Wild vs. Rangers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-26 12:50 | Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading? | BUY | 0.974 | $19.79 |
| 08-13 10:46 | Dream vs Storm | BUY | 0.51 | $579.87 |
| 08-08 06:11 | Cubs vs. Cardinals | BUY | 0.58 | $294.64 |
| 08-04 10:14 | Orioles vs. Phillies | BUY | 0.37 | $190.55 |
| 07-29 10:20 | Phillies vs. White Sox | BUY | 0.64 | $94.72 |
| 04-02 11:11 | Wild vs. Rangers | BUY | 0.6 | $246.00 |
| 03-10 06:51 | Will Kanye launch a coin in March? | BUY | 0.7189934089 | $200.00 |
| 12-02 12:55 | Heat vs. Celtics | BUY | 0.81 | $178.20 |
| 11-25 11:18 | Bitcoin above $100,000 on November 29? | BUY | 0.6195767901 | $73.20 |
| 09-13 12:01 | Blonde Broker vs Ashley | BUY | 0.61 | $61.00 |
| 09-05 11:49 | Eagles vs. Packers | BUY | 0.4499999977 | $48.00 |
| 08-02 11:16 | Israel military action against Iran in August? | BUY | 0.5694305681 | $50.00 |
| 07-29 14:13 | Will Michelle Obama announce presidential run before August? | BUY | 0.0069410979 | $5.00 |
| 07-19 13:03 | Lettuce vs. Biden - Who lasts longer? | BUY | 0.6716049368 | $120.00 |
| 07-12 08:34 | Euro Finals: Spain vs. England | BUY | 0.4099999973 | $70.00 |