PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5B61617f676744F7951871374Fc3d037F23384BB-1786157078673

0x5b61617f676744f7951871374fc3d037f23384bb

Realised P&L
$2.17
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
35
Open portfolio
$11.36

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded35
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample22 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)36.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on September 28? · Yes0.0510.675$3.38+$3.12
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28? · Yes0.0420.545$2.73+$2.52
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.0470.210$2.10+$1.63
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28? · Yes0.0470.175$1.75+$1.28
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 28? · Yes0.0420.071$0.36+$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on September 28? · Yes0.0470.034$0.34−$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 28? · Yes0.0470.018$0.17−$0.29
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 28? · Yes0.0420.025$0.13−$0.09
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 82-83°F on September 28? · Yes0.0420.022$0.11−$0.10
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 17°C on September 28? · Yes0.0510.015$0.07−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 28? · Yes0.0460.005$0.05−$0.41
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 84°F or higher on September 28? · Yes0.0420.005$0.03−$0.18
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 28? · Yes0.0460.002$0.01−$0.45
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on September 28? · Yes0.0420.003$0.01−$0.20
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 28? · Yes0.0470.001$0.01−$0.46

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 01:21Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?SELL0.65$6.50
09-27 14:02Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on September 28?BUY0.46$4.60
09-27 14:00Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on September 28?BUY0.42$2.10
09-27 13:59Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 28?BUY0.42$3.04
09-27 13:58Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on September 28?BUY0.47$4.70
09-27 13:56Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 28?BUY0.51$2.55
09-27 13:53Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 28?BUY0.45$2.25
09-15 14:27Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 16?BUY0.2899999884$3.00
09-04 15:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?SELL0.0270028011$0.19
09-04 02:50Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?SELL0.21$6.37
09-04 01:05Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 4?SELL0.07$1.10
09-03 16:24Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on September 4?BUY0.4199999272$3.00
09-03 16:23Will the highest temperature in Milan be 31°C on September 4?BUY0.1268292191$2.00
09-03 16:23Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?BUY0.2$3.00
09-03 14:12Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 4?BUY0.1957841154$3.00