0x5b60b2c93123db788414d76ac8df76986f07c6a9
0x5b60b2c93123db788414d76ac8df76986f07c6a9
- Realised P&L
- $2.40
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 146
- Open portfolio
- $1.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded146
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? · No | 0.510 | 0.520 | $1.22 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.76at 0.243Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 72-73°F on June 14?
- +$6.80at 0.659Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on June 16?
- +$6.77at 0.382Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 35°C on June 17?
- +$6.13at 0.490Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 23?
- +$5.28at 0.472Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 08:25 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998543 | $1.19 |
| 10-06 07:11 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | SELL | 0.46 | $1.07 |
| 10-06 06:19 | Will Ukraine target Moscow on October 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099998543 | $1.19 |
| 10-05 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.23 |
| 10-05 18:52 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.96 | $1.19 |
| 10-05 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.42 |
| 10-05 18:02 | Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $0.23 |
| 10-05 17:18 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.36 |
| 10-05 17:17 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? | SELL | 0.19 | $0.40 |
| 10-05 17:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 5? | BUY | 0.269999953 | $1.15 |
| 10-05 08:18 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on October 5? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.19 |
| 10-04 05:32 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 4? | SELL | 0.998 | $1.20 |
| 10-04 05:30 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9899993428 | $1.19 |
| 10-03 23:15 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $1.42 |
| 10-03 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.8299999578 | $1.18 |