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Traders

Ty564r

0x5b5e047ddd5e553cbaee58730e39f9801de130d3

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$47.0k
Markets traded
152
Open portfolio
$1.7k

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded152
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.8940.860$581.02−$23.18
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? · Yes0.6700.695$414.93+$14.93
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8300.845$287.10+$5.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? · Yes0.6670.765$227.81+$29.04
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30? · No0.9100.945$94.50+$3.50
0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? · No0.8140.780$77.67−$3.43
Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31? · Yes0.3200.290$22.33−$2.31
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by September 30, 2026? · No0.5900.979$16.79+$6.67
Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.4090.430$11.29+$0.54
Iran full airspace closure by September 30? · No0.5410.967$1.76+$0.77
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? · Yes0.7600.865$1.14+$0.14
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? · Yes0.3140.185$0.20−$0.14
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by June 30? · No0.8470.000$0.00−$194.73
Iran closes its airspace by June 15? · No0.8790.000$0.00−$47.54

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 06:55Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.39$9.75
09-23 07:370 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.82$6.56
09-23 06:240 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30?BUY0.8199999967$30.00
09-23 06:16Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30?SELL0.95$79.18
09-22 10:36US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.8599999997$100.00
09-22 10:36Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?SELL0.957$135.29
09-22 04:58US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.9099999924$74.00
09-22 04:57Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?SELL0.91$74.45
09-21 10:15Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30?BUY0.9199999126$8.00
09-21 10:14Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?SELL0.8513650465$8.23
09-21 08:37Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31?BUY0.88$8.51
09-20 09:12Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31?BUY0.7699999983$63.00
09-20 09:11Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?SELL0.73$63.47
09-20 08:17Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31?BUY0.6899999979$60.00
09-20 08:11Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?BUY0.7899998657$1.00