Ty564r
0x5b5e047ddd5e553cbaee58730e39f9801de130d3
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$371.58at 0.558Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
- +$210.14at 0.514 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$142.87at 0.665US and Iran sign an agreement by June 30, 2026?
- +$80.45at 0.709Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?
- +$64.20at 0.731Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 06:55 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $9.75 |
| 09-23 07:37 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.82 | $6.56 |
| 09-23 06:24 | 0 ships transit Hormuz on any date by September 30? | BUY | 0.8199999967 | $30.00 |
| 09-23 06:16 | Trump issues Iran Sanctions Executive Order by September 30? | SELL | 0.95 | $79.18 |
| 09-22 10:36 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599999997 | $100.00 |
| 09-22 10:36 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30? | SELL | 0.957 | $135.29 |
| 09-22 04:58 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9099999924 | $74.00 |
| 09-22 04:57 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | SELL | 0.91 | $74.45 |
| 09-21 10:15 | Will USD be less than 2.2M Iranian rials on September 30? | BUY | 0.9199999126 | $8.00 |
| 09-21 10:14 | Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | SELL | 0.8513650465 | $8.23 |
| 09-21 08:37 | Will USD be less than 2.0M Iranian rials on December 31? | BUY | 0.88 | $8.51 |
| 09-20 09:12 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? | BUY | 0.7699999983 | $63.00 |
| 09-20 09:11 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | SELL | 0.73 | $63.47 |
| 09-20 08:17 | Will Saudi airspace be closed by December 31? | BUY | 0.6899999979 | $60.00 |
| 09-20 08:11 | Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899998657 | $1.00 |