0x5B59141E2454007B0a5B9B4dAc4a0be9F572065A-1774534640126
0x5b59141e2454007b0a5b9b4dac4a0be9f572065a
- Realised P&L
- $145.00
- Volume
- $2.2k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $19.43
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.6%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.350 | 0.345 | $9.86 | −$0.14 |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? · Yes | 0.710 | 0.680 | $9.58 | −$0.42 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.95at 0.200Will Egypt vs. Spain end in a draw?
- +$32.81at 0.380Will Egypt win on 2026-03-26?
- +$24.98at 0.145Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?
- +$20.37at 0.570Will France win on 2026-03-29?
- +$19.13at 0.396Will Iran advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 17:15 | Will Germany win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.3499999948 | $10.00 |
| 09-21 17:09 | Will Brazil win on 2026-09-25? | BUY | 0.7099999815 | $10.00 |
| 09-20 13:23 | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $10.00 |
| 09-19 13:47 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5799999768 | $10.00 |
| 09-13 14:17 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-13? | BUY | 0.4499999843 | $10.00 |
| 09-10 21:37 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-12? | BUY | 0.6699999839 | $10.00 |
| 09-07 20:13 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.31 |
| 09-07 19:52 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.13 | $1.74 |
| 09-07 19:51 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | SELL | 0.13 | $2.32 |
| 09-07 16:06 | Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000? | BUY | 0.1399999888 | $10.00 |
| 09-03 22:20 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-05? | BUY | 0.8399999966 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:26 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.6799999946 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 14:24 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | SELL | 0.22 | $3.33 |
| 08-23 12:51 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-08-23? | BUY | 0.6599999842 | $10.00 |
| 08-22 20:46 | Will Bayern Munich win on 2026-08-22? | SELL | 0.999 | $15.85 |