0x5b57db39a298be1cb95558f12e006f5b03d76114
0x5b57db39a298be1cb95558f12e006f5b03d76114
- Realised P&L
- $-22.23
- Volume
- $625.20
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $28.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.605 | $22.14 | +$0.92 |
| Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.495 | $6.27 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.16at 0.281Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$4.98at 0.704Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix?
- +$4.63at 0.302Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$1.25at 0.831Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
- +$-0.80at 0.773Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 10:05 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5 | $6.33 |
| 10-03 10:04 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Bahrain Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.5799999929 | $21.23 |
| 09-13 16:37 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.97 | $18.60 |
| 09-13 14:27 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.02 | $0.23 |
| 09-13 13:43 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.2799999896 | $3.24 |
| 09-13 13:04 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Spanish Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.6899999927 | $13.24 |
| 09-06 14:57 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.02 |
| 09-06 14:57 | Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.9795375 | $8.62 |
| 09-06 14:57 | Will George Russell finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.9405809917 | $11.38 |
| 09-06 14:56 | Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.978 | $6.65 |
| 09-06 14:51 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.00 |
| 09-06 14:45 | Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | BUY | 0.1199999332 | $1.51 |
| 09-06 14:19 | Will Charles Leclerc finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 09-06 14:02 | Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.034 | $0.50 |
| 09-06 13:59 | Will Lewis Hamilton finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Italian Grand Prix? | SELL | 0.12 | $1.16 |