PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Dolly22

0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb

Realised P&L
$-2.3k
Volume
$187.5k
Markets traded
144
Open portfolio
$250.56

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded144
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.110$115.20−$73.91
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.040$44.82−$134.45
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1820.035$37.97−$159.14
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3520.035$20.30−$184.22
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.045$17.84−$41.63
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1250.021$12.06−$59.72
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.140$2.36−$0.84
Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi Ito · Aoi Ito0.1100.000$0.00−$1.10
Exact Score: FC Bayern München 2 - 1 BV Borussia 09 Dortmund? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$1.30
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich · Anhelina Kalinina0.1700.000$0.00−$1.70
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00−$0.10
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Toby Samuel · Charles Broom0.0900.000$0.00−$13.70
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$0.08
Will LASK Linz vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw? · Yes0.0300.000$0.00−$0.30
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00−$0.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-31 18:15Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)BUY0.57$2.85
10-31 18:14Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31?BUY0.18$0.90
10-26 23:24Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?SELL0.06$20.47
10-25 21:52Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw?SELL0.2$1.00
10-18 05:46Kalinina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.69$6.90
10-18 05:43Kalinina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5BUY0.435$4.35
10-18 05:41Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra SasnovichBUY0.17$1.70
10-18 05:29Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi ItoBUY0.11$1.10
10-18 01:07Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.17$1.70
10-17 22:14Botafogo FR vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5BUY0.62$6.20
10-17 22:04Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.18$1.80
10-17 22:03Botafogo FR vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5BUY0.57$5.70
10-17 18:05Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?SELL0.986$9.86
10-17 17:03Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5BUY0.21$2.10
10-17 17:02Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17?BUY0.67$6.70