Dolly22
0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $187.5k
- Markets traded
- 144
- Open portfolio
- $250.56
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded144
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.67at 0.520Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$207.04at 0.581Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$156.83at 0.179Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$25.21at 0.373Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.38at 0.459Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 18:15 | Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $2.85 |
| 10-31 18:14 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-31? | BUY | 0.18 | $0.90 |
| 10-26 23:24 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.06 | $20.47 |
| 10-25 21:52 | Will FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF end in a draw? | SELL | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 05:46 | Kalinina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.69 | $6.90 |
| 10-18 05:43 | Kalinina vs. Sasnovich: Match O/U 21.5 | BUY | 0.435 | $4.35 |
| 10-18 05:41 | Ningbo Open, Qualification: Anhelina Kalinina vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-18 05:29 | Japan Women's Open, Qualification: Harriet Dart vs Aoi Ito | BUY | 0.11 | $1.10 |
| 10-18 01:07 | Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.17 | $1.70 |
| 10-17 22:14 | Botafogo FR vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.62 | $6.20 |
| 10-17 22:04 | Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.18 | $1.80 |
| 10-17 22:03 | Botafogo FR vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Associação Chapecoense de Futebol O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.57 | $5.70 |
| 10-17 18:05 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | SELL | 0.986 | $9.86 |
| 10-17 17:03 | Real Betis Balompié vs. FC Barcelona: Real Betis Balompié O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.21 | $2.10 |
| 10-17 17:02 | Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-10-17? | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |