PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

Dolly22

0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb

Realised P&L
$-3.0k
Volume
$186.0k
Markets traded
126
Open portfolio
$401.95

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded126
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
AI data center in space by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.2450.225$143.82$12.85
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship? · Yes0.3150.295$88.50$6.00
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1900.105$46.52$37.66
Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1800.041$42.61$146.50
Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? · Yes0.1500.080$27.30$23.77
Will Discord’s market cap be less than $5B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1600.018$20.73$158.54
Will Discord’s market cap be $20B or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1500.035$13.68$45.80
Will Discord’s market cap be between $8B and $11B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.3520.022$13.05$191.47
Will Discord’s market cap be between $17B and $20B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1820.004$4.88$192.23
Will Discord’s market cap be between $5B and $8B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? · Yes0.1250.002$0.86$70.92
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.1000.000$0.00$0.10
Winnipeg: Charles Broom vs Toby Samuel · Charles Broom0.0900.000$0.00$13.70
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$0.08
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$0.15
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on July 6? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-09 19:30Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.05$35.99
09-05 15:43Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship?SELL0.1$10.00
09-01 17:16Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.06$60.04
09-01 17:15Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.012$5.94
08-31 05:23Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.12$0.08
08-31 05:23Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?SELL0.537$0.44
08-31 05:22Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027?SELL0.039$0.04
08-31 05:22Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T?SELL0.17$0.16
08-31 05:05Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day?SELL0.076$0.02
08-31 04:47Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.06$30.00
08-31 04:37Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.1$100.00
08-28 13:33Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?SELL0.18$0.17
08-28 13:33Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.16$0.03
08-28 13:32Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship?SELL0.13$0.05
08-28 13:32Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.04$0.04