Dolly22
0x5b4d449335b79afbbecae9be20543fd9fa5f2adb
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $186.0k
- Markets traded
- 126
- Open portfolio
- $401.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded126
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration11.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$262.67at 0.520Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
- +$207.04at 0.581Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?
- +$156.83at 0.179Will Theo launch a token by June 30 2026?
- +$25.21at 0.373Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$23.38at 0.459Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-09 19:30 | Will Liverpool win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.05 | $35.99 |
| 09-05 15:43 | Will Crystal Palace win the 2026-27 UEFA Europa League Championship? | SELL | 0.1 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 17:16 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.06 | $60.04 |
| 09-01 17:15 | Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.012 | $5.94 |
| 08-31 05:23 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.12 | $0.08 |
| 08-31 05:23 | Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.537 | $0.44 |
| 08-31 05:22 | Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.039 | $0.04 |
| 08-31 05:22 | Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be between $1.75T and $2.0T? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.16 |
| 08-31 05:05 | Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.076 | $0.02 |
| 08-31 04:47 | Will Oura's market cap be between $10B and $12.5B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.06 | $30.00 |
| 08-31 04:37 | Will Oura's market cap be between $12.5B and $15B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.1 | $100.00 |
| 08-28 13:33 | Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? | SELL | 0.18 | $0.17 |
| 08-28 13:33 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.16 | $0.03 |
| 08-28 13:32 | Will Bayern Munich win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.05 |
| 08-28 13:32 | Will Oura's market cap be between $7.5B and $10B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.04 |