0x5b4871988aa4e5a14f1b88df1643772057725bd9
- Realised P&L
- $-17.25
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 12
- Open portfolio
- $96.30
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded12
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No | 0.360 | 0.355 | $53.24 | −$0.75 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.150 | 0.155 | $31.00 | +$1.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No | 0.130 | 0.105 | $10.50 | −$2.50 |
| Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 19? · Yes | 0.124 | 0.012 | $1.20 | −$11.20 |
| Will it rain in New York, NY on September 19? · Yes | 0.147 | 0.006 | $0.36 | −$8.44 |
| Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Baltimore Orioles | 0.038 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.19 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.95at 0.490Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5)
- +$0.84at 0.340US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
- +$0.74at 0.280California vs. Syracuse
- +$0.63at 0.580Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?
- +$-0.11at 0.043Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 02:31 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.5944625507 | $96.67 |
| 09-19 02:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.64 | $3.20 |
| 09-12 22:03 | US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina | SELL | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 09-12 22:03 | California vs. Syracuse | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-12 22:03 | Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5) | SELL | 0.69 | $3.45 |
| 09-12 22:03 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami Marlins | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | SELL | 0.04 | $1.03 |
| 09-12 20:01 | Xi Jinping out before 2027? | BUY | 0.0409999993 | $1.06 |