PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5b4871988aa4e5a14f1b88df1643772057725bd9

Realised P&L
$-17.25
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
12
Open portfolio
$96.30

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded12
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
ClearProfit concentration30.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration55.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump x Greenland deal signed by September 23? · No0.3600.355$53.24$0.75
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1500.155$31.00+$1.00
US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25? · No0.1300.105$10.50$2.50
Will it rain in Los Angeles, CA on September 19? · Yes0.1240.012$1.20$11.20
Will it rain in New York, NY on September 19? · Yes0.1470.006$0.36$8.44
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays · Baltimore Orioles0.0380.000$0.00$0.19

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-19 02:31Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.5944625507$96.67
09-19 02:29Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19?SELL0.64$3.20
09-12 22:03US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena RybakinaSELL0.52$2.60
09-12 22:03California vs. SyracuseSELL0.44$2.20
09-12 22:03Spread: Pittsburgh (-7.5)SELL0.69$3.45
09-12 22:03Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Miami MarlinsSELL0.29$1.45
09-12 20:01Xi Jinping out before 2027?SELL0.04$1.03
09-12 20:01Xi Jinping out before 2027?BUY0.0409999993$1.06