PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

0x5b1f7a04540812e66a1eca12b24e4e1510690ff4

0x5b1f7a04540812e66a1eca12b24e4e1510690ff4

Realised P&L
$38.54
Volume
$18.4k
Markets traded
387
Open portfolio
$31.17

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded387
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration52.3% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.4% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11? · No0.7600.785$30.99+$0.99
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 11? · Yes0.0400.002$0.19−$4.81
Exact Score: Scotland 0 - 2 Brazil? · Yes0.2600.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6300.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5350.000$0.00−$5.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Egypt? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Sweden? · Yes0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: France 0 - 1 Morocco? · Yes0.0600.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Türkiye 1 - 1 Paraguay? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 2 Japan? · Yes0.0570.000$0.00−$4.00
Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 3 Ecuador? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET · Up0.5800.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? · Yes0.7320.000$0.00−$60.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-11 11:46Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 on October 11?BUY0.759999998$30.00
10-11 05:30Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 11?BUY0.04$5.00
07-19 20:54Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?SELL0.555$4.08
07-19 20:53Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.12$1.50
07-19 20:41Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?SELL0.375$4.36
07-19 20:12Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?SELL0.25$2.27
07-19 19:58Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.40749993$3.00
07-19 19:57Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.14$0.93
07-19 19:44Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Argentina?SELL0.09$0.90
07-19 19:11Exact Score: Spain 0 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.08$1.00
07-19 19:11Exact Score: Spain 1 - 1 Argentina?BUY0.1499998875$1.00
07-19 19:11Exact Score: Spain 0 - 0 Argentina?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
07-18 23:00Will England win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.996$357.85
07-18 22:49Will England win on 2026-07-18?BUY0.8849999992$100.00
07-18 22:39Will France win on 2026-07-18?SELL0.252$5.04
Trader 0x5b1f7a04540812e66a1eca12b24e4e1510690ff4 · PolyBot Pro