YJQEatSmoke
0x5b1ed26e7804b85f777fa8bb7ed48fbd14f34777
- Realised P&L
- $68.57
- Volume
- $899.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,794
- Open portfolio
- $1.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,794
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration60.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$39.18at 0.007Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?
- +$8.03at 0.005Will Z.ai have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
- +$6.40at 0.008Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?
- +$6.32at 0.002Will Viktor Gyokeres be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
- +$4.24at 0.007Solstice FDV above $400M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-28 18:32 | Will EDward Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 04-28 18:31 | Will Bryce Reeves be the Republican nominee for Senate in Virginia? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.10 |
| 04-19 19:39 | Will Databricks’ market cap be between $100B and $125B at market close on IPO day? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.08 |
| 04-19 19:39 | Will Bridget Phillipson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.22 |
| 04-19 19:38 | Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.58 |
| 04-19 19:38 | Will Al Carns be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026? | SELL | 0.0111557632 | $2.15 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will Petr Yan fight Song Yadong next? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.25% at the end of 2026? | SELL | 0.023 | $0.02 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will Rick Rieder be confirmed as Fed Chair and will rates hit 2.5% or lower in 2026? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will Vedat Muriqi be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | SELL | 0.056 | $0.08 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | StandX FDV above $10B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Paul Mescal announced as next James Bond? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.01 |
| 04-19 19:35 | Will Grigor Dimitrov win the 2026 Men's French Open? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.01 |