Cando8
0x5b0e26c36ccd881fe5fef90cb7c8c5ab3c0c077d
- Realised P&L
- $4.8k
- Volume
- $122.6k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $6.6k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration88.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes | 0.743 | 0.765 | $5.1k | +$147.75 |
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.195 | $1.5k | −$37.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.0kat 0.165Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$423.67at 0.866Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$106.08at 0.597Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
- +$-33.91at 0.108Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?
- +$-625.92at 0.276Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 11:29 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.2 | $1.5k |
| 09-09 10:18 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7425653613 | $2.0k |
| 09-09 05:19 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | BUY | 0.7433644317 | $3.0k |
| 09-09 05:12 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.25 |
| 09-09 05:12 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.31 | $6.08 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.31 | $2.92 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.31 | $30.43 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.26 | $33.58 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | SELL | 0.0871652611 | $83.20 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.1885732711 | $49.71 |
| 09-09 05:11 | Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern? | SELL | 0.1011523875 | $96.55 |
| 09-09 05:10 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.2035502925 | $290.15 |
| 09-09 05:10 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.2386575373 | $466.02 |
| 09-09 05:10 | Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | SELL | 0.73 | $1.6k |
| 09-09 05:10 | Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open? | SELL | 0.172695405 | $236.96 |