ebxmcst
0x5b058159473d1170199a7090e1fbabf448fd5acd
- Realised P&L
- $1.0k
- Volume
- $48.7k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $4.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 39.5 · Under | 0.430 | 0.405 | $2.9k | −$182.07 |
| Eagles vs. Bears · Bears | 0.350 | 0.365 | $1.1k | +$46.50 |
| Lakers vs. Mavericks · Lakers | 0.580 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.39 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11? · No | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.87 |
| Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$91.44 |
| Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.380Raiders vs. Saints
- +$672.70at 0.580Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5
- +$538.81at 0.420Bengals vs. Texans
- +$191.57at 0.509Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
- +$24.86at 0.500Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 02:29 | Eagles vs. Bears | BUY | 0.35 | $1.1k |
| 09-24 06:41 | Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5 | BUY | 0.5799999999 | $928.97 |
| 09-20 15:07 | Bengals vs. Texans | BUY | 0.4199999998 | $390.17 |
| 03-23 07:00 | Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BUY | 0.975 | $159.12 |
| 03-05 04:19 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15? | BUY | 0.9429999998 | $150.05 |
| 12-05 08:01 | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? | BUY | 0.9299999996 | $118.85 |
| 11-24 03:04 | Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? | BUY | 0.53 | $3.0k |
| 10-03 13:19 | Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9299999997 | $91.44 |
| 09-22 03:32 | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30? | BUY | 0.98 | $28.80 |
| 09-22 03:16 | US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30? | BUY | 0.96 | $29.68 |
| 09-22 03:05 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.988 | $30.76 |
| 09-07 11:34 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025? | BUY | 0.9919999995 | $88.52 |
| 08-28 02:26 | Will Google have the top AI model on August 31? | BUY | 0.9886231634 | $87.52 |
| 08-15 06:49 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025? | BUY | 0.9945797253 | $87.04 |
| 08-06 04:12 | Will GPT-5 be released by December 31? | BUY | 0.9939999944 | $86.52 |