PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ebxmcst

0x5b058159473d1170199a7090e1fbabf448fd5acd

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$48.7k
Markets traded
44
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.1%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded44
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration63.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample39 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.9%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 39.5 · Under0.4300.405$2.9k−$182.07
Eagles vs. Bears · Bears0.3500.365$1.1k+$46.50
Lakers vs. Mavericks · Lakers0.5800.000$0.00−$15.39
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $111K on July 11? · No0.5000.000$0.00−$9.87
Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.9300.000$0.00−$91.44
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24? · No0.5300.000$0.00−$3.0k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 02:29Eagles vs. BearsBUY0.35$1.1k
09-24 06:41Falcons vs. Packers: O/U 40.5BUY0.5799999999$928.97
09-20 15:07Bengals vs. TexansBUY0.4199999998$390.17
03-23 07:00Will St. John's win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?BUY0.975$159.12
03-05 04:19Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?BUY0.9429999998$150.05
12-05 08:01No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?BUY0.9299999996$118.85
11-24 03:04Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?BUY0.53$3.0k
10-03 13:19Meteora FDV above $1B one day after launch?BUY0.9299999997$91.44
09-22 03:32Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?BUY0.98$28.80
09-22 03:16US x Venezuela military engagement by September 30?BUY0.96$29.68
09-22 03:05Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.988$30.76
09-07 11:34Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?BUY0.9919999995$88.52
08-28 02:26Will Google have the top AI model on August 31?BUY0.9886231634$87.52
08-15 06:49Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2025?BUY0.9945797253$87.04
08-06 04:12Will GPT-5 be released by December 31?BUY0.9939999944$86.52