0x5AFA0fdf1cEA8F8cb87626e165c66c7e7be4e478-1773651346690
0x5afa0fdf1cea8f8cb87626e165c66c7e7be4e478
- Realised P&L
- $3.07
- Volume
- $97.60
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $5.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.590 | 0.595 | $1.92 | +$0.02 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? · Yes | 0.975 | 0.978 | $1.80 | +$0.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.987 | $1.80 | −$0.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? · No | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs · Paper Rex | 0.660 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.90 |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.99at 0.430US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
- +$1.94at 0.495US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
- +$1.65at 0.560Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$1.52at 0.664Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
- +$0.70at 0.730US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-15 03:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15? | BUY | 0.989 | $1.80 |
| 10-15 03:25 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 16? | BUY | 0.975 | $1.80 |
| 10-09 03:25 | Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | BUY | 0.6599999722 | $1.90 |
| 09-21 03:09 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31? | BUY | 0.974 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 02:57 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30? | BUY | 0.8649999399 | $1.80 |
| 09-07 03:23 | US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15? | BUY | 0.972 | $1.84 |
| 08-28 03:47 | Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 27 to August 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.490019085 | $1.90 |
| 08-14 08:34 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9659999704 | $5.16 |
| 08-14 08:31 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.9659999586 | $5.18 |
| 08-06 08:00 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.9789995655 | $1.69 |
| 07-28 06:42 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | BUY | 0.4949999766 | $1.90 |
| 07-20 07:23 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.987999948 | $1.90 |
| 07-13 05:35 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.9739999901 | $2.16 |
| 07-07 03:14 | Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.5899997423 | $1.90 |
| 06-30 06:41 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9699999981 | $5.24 |