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Traders

realrtrd

0x5af3203a38e5f7deb356dc05aea613936c231534

Realised P&L
$-4.6k
Volume
$324.7k
Markets traded
1,424
Open portfolio
$1.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,424
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.6800.675$694.85−$5.15
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.4800.485$606.25+$6.25
Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 · Over0.6300.635$302.38+$2.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-01 15:04Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.48$600.00
10-01 15:00Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5BUY0.6299999995$300.00
10-01 12:10Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?BUY0.6799999998$700.00
09-29 20:07Will England win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.93$411.15
09-29 19:32Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.59$292.73
09-29 19:20Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5SELL0.999$440.73
09-29 19:19Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.88$489.17
09-29 17:35Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?SELL0.26$182.81
09-29 13:58Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5BUY0.6799999994$300.00
09-29 13:55Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.6046540513$300.00
09-29 13:55Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.5099999999$350.00
09-29 13:55Will England win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.76$700.00
09-29 13:55Will Finland win on 2026-09-29?BUY0.64$450.00
09-28 20:42Will France win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.98$762.21
09-28 20:17Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28?SELL0.95$116.33
Trader realrtrd · PolyBot Pro