realrtrd
0x5af3203a38e5f7deb356dc05aea613936c231534
- Realised P&L
- $-4.6k
- Volume
- $324.7k
- Markets traded
- 1,424
- Open portfolio
- $1.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,424
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.675 | $694.85 | −$5.15 |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.485 | $606.25 | +$6.25 |
| Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.630 | 0.635 | $302.38 | +$2.38 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$934.23at 0.522Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-03?
- +$818.46at 0.532Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-30?
- +$691.60at 0.512Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-09-05?
- +$681.38at 0.642Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31?
- +$659.86at 0.208Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-01 15:04 | Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.48 | $600.00 |
| 10-01 15:00 | Wales vs. Norway: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6299999995 | $300.00 |
| 10-01 12:10 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.6799999998 | $700.00 |
| 09-29 20:07 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.93 | $411.15 |
| 09-29 19:32 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.59 | $292.73 |
| 09-29 19:20 | Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $440.73 |
| 09-29 19:19 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.88 | $489.17 |
| 09-29 17:35 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | SELL | 0.26 | $182.81 |
| 09-29 13:58 | Spain vs. Croatia: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6799999994 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 13:55 | Will Slovenia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.6046540513 | $300.00 |
| 09-29 13:55 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.5099999999 | $350.00 |
| 09-29 13:55 | Will England win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.76 | $700.00 |
| 09-29 13:55 | Will Finland win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.64 | $450.00 |
| 09-28 20:42 | Will France win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.98 | $762.21 |
| 09-28 20:17 | Will Sweden win on 2026-09-28? | SELL | 0.95 | $116.33 |