PolyBot

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Traders

0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8e

0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8e

Realised P&L
$-151.36
Volume
$10.7k
Markets traded
75
Open portfolio
$29.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded75
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.9910.992$26.99+$0.03
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2400.240$2.00+$0.00
Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0380.018$0.95−$1.05

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 06:06US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?BUY0.9909999851$26.96
10-26 21:57Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.939999994$12.62
10-26 21:56Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?BUY0.9319999965$12.74
10-24 07:29Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.2399999808$2.00
10-24 07:25Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting?BUY0.038$2.00
10-19 04:40Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?BUY0.1$47.94
10-05 04:44Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?SELL0.001$0.01
10-04 05:21Will Nathalie Roy win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.9$5.00
10-04 05:12Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election?BUY0.9$10.00
10-03 05:24Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election?BUY0.9$10.00
10-03 05:23Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election?BUY0.9$10.00
10-03 05:21Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.9$10.00
10-02 05:00Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.903999992$10.00
10-02 04:56Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m?BUY0.9$10.00
10-02 04:54Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election?BUY0.9$10.00