0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8e
0x5aed52743612c14e0aafe91c6450274f43a83f8e
- Realised P&L
- $-151.36
- Volume
- $10.7k
- Markets traded
- 75
- Open portfolio
- $29.93
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded75
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes | 0.991 | 0.992 | $26.99 | +$0.03 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.240 | $2.00 | +$0.00 |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.038 | 0.018 | $0.95 | −$1.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$34.06at 0.597Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the July Meeting?
- +$33.93at 0.757Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
- +$10.82at 0.744US Open ATP: Marcos Giron vs Ignacio Buse
- +$10.42at 0.812Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?
- +$9.29at 0.684Will CA Osasuna vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 06:06 | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | BUY | 0.9909999851 | $26.96 |
| 10-26 21:57 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.939999994 | $12.62 |
| 10-26 21:56 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9319999965 | $12.74 |
| 10-24 07:29 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2399999808 | $2.00 |
| 10-24 07:25 | Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps increase at the December 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.038 | $2.00 |
| 10-19 04:40 | Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | BUY | 0.1 | $47.94 |
| 10-05 04:44 | Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.01 |
| 10-04 05:21 | Will Nathalie Roy win the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9 | $5.00 |
| 10-04 05:12 | Will Stéphanie Martin win the next Vanier-Les Rivières Quebec National Assembly election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:24 | Will Filipe Barros win the most votes in the 2026 Paraná Senate election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:23 | Will Eduardo Amorim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Sergipe Senate election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-03 05:21 | Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 05:00 | Will Renan Santos win less than 2% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.903999992 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 04:56 | Will "Verity" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 28m? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 04:54 | Will Rui Costa win the most votes in the 2026 Bahia Senate election? | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |