laodp
0x5ad985a9c3f09d7274f7e9d6f908f595cbe3cce7
- Realised P&L
- $-2.54
- Volume
- $14.6k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $145.80
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $49.95 | −$0.05 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $42.51 | −$0.04 |
| Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? · No | 0.996 | 0.996 | $30.30 | +$0.00 |
| Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 21-27? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $23.05 | −$0.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.32at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.00 in July?
- +$0.29at 0.998Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2025?
- +$0.28at 0.998Will Ethereum reach $7,000 in November?
- +$0.18at 0.996Will XRP reach $3.00 in June?
- +$0.14at 0.999Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on January 10?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.996 | $30.30 |
| 09-23 13:52 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $50.00 |
| 09-23 13:51 | Will XRP dip to $0.40 in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $42.55 |
| 09-23 13:50 | Will XRP dip to $0.70 September 21-27? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.14 |
| 08-21 12:23 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $67.22 |
| 08-21 12:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in August? | BUY | 0.999 | $31.09 |
| 07-04 09:02 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in July? | BUY | 0.996 | $86.89 |
| 07-04 09:01 | Will Solana reach $160 in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $58.30 |
| 06-15 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $35.55 |
| 06-15 13:38 | Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026? | BUY | 0.994999999 | $19.82 |
| 06-15 13:37 | Will XRP reach $1.80 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.00 |
| 06-15 13:36 | Will XRP reach $1.90 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.999 | $3.78 |
| 06-15 13:35 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in June? | BUY | 0.9959999791 | $47.00 |
| 05-22 13:35 | Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of May 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.40 |
| 05-22 13:34 | Will Bitcoin reach $88,000 May 18-24? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.30 |