PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x5Ad97558EB3355BD35f3489db7dE915D0ae66870-1770753620799

0x5ad97558eb3355bd35f3489db7de915d0ae66870

Realised P&L
$-89.97
Volume
$27.5k
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$3.00

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration45.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)28.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration75.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0030.001$2.25−$12.75
Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0110.001$0.47−$4.53
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes0.1240.005$0.28−$5.99
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1? · Yes0.1220.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Sarah Knafo win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.0190.000$0.00−$5.00
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11? · Yes0.6500.000$0.00−$101.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
03-11 17:33Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?BUY0.6499999981$101.41
03-10 19:43Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-10?BUY0.5799999965$58.82
03-08 14:13Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?BUY0.1219633025$10.00
02-28 19:17Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.001$5.42
02-28 19:14Will Grégory Doucet win the 2026 Lyon mayoral election?SELL0.0876876855$8.57
02-12 21:21Will GTA 6 cost $100+?BUY0.0089280046$5.00
02-12 21:21Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?BUY0.0439999918$5.00
02-12 21:20Will Trump and Netanyahu handshake last 10–15 seconds by February 13, 2026?BUY0.0509999907$5.00
02-12 21:19US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?BUY0.008$5.00
02-11 12:51Will the US strike Mexico next?BUY0.004$10.00
02-11 12:51Will the US strike Nigeria next?BUY0.0018413985$10.00
02-10 22:19Will the US strike Iran next?BUY0.0027881041$1.00
02-10 22:15Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 11?BUY0.1041666667$5.00
02-10 22:10Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0106771238$5.00
02-10 22:10Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.0033301752$15.00