vestie
0x5ad84dd54d4a1e42d8aaf9e839d8d7efbeccfb71
- Realised P&L
- $-3.81
- Volume
- $526.46
- Markets traded
- 42
- Open portfolio
- $21.30
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded42
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample31 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.97at 0.918Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C or higher on October 13?
- +$0.94at 0.904Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 13?
- +$0.56at 0.943Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 16?
- +$0.52at 0.895Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on October 13?
- +$0.46at 0.951Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 21:09 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-16 21:08 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 74-75°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.057 | $1.01 |
| 10-16 21:06 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 17? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.00 |
| 10-16 21:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 10-16 21:01 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.967 | $4.83 |
| 10-16 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 15°C or higher on October 17? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.35 |
| 10-16 20:59 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 12°C on October 17? | BUY | 0.12 | $0.86 |
| 10-16 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-16 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.998 | $9.98 |
| 10-16 20:32 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.39 |
| 10-16 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.98 |
| 10-16 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-16 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on October 16? | SELL | 0.999 | $9.99 |
| 10-16 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on October 16? | SELL | 0.997 | $10.17 |
| 10-15 20:42 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 12°C on October 16? | BUY | 0.15 | $1.00 |