0x5ad089b0516575918139b16c395a86c55e6c5d99
0x5ad089b0516575918139b16c395a86c55e6c5d99
- Realised P&L
- $-361.39
- Volume
- $21.4k
- Markets traded
- 640
- Open portfolio
- $28.70
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded640
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration19.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration18.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.460 | 0.485 | $5.27 | +$0.27 |
| Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.470 | 0.475 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
| Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres · Chicago Cubs | 0.460 | 0.455 | $4.95 | −$0.05 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.395 | $4.94 | −$0.06 |
| Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 · Over | 0.480 | 0.465 | $4.84 | −$0.16 |
| Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.035 | $3.64 | −$1.44 |
| Will Kazuma Okamoto win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? · Yes | 0.036 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$0.95 |
| Spread: Eagles (-3.5) · Eagles | 0.501 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
| Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 · Over | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$46.43at 0.350Clippers vs. Nuggets
- +$46.40at 0.430Pistons vs. Warriors
- +$43.39at 0.346Nuggets vs. Bucks
- +$35.22at 0.460Canadiens vs. Sabres
- +$32.48at 0.330UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 03:29 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:29 | Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4599999669 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:28 | Boston Red Sox vs. New York Yankees: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.4799999846 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:28 | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:28 | Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 03:27 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | SELL | 0.5 | $4.90 |
| 09-29 03:22 | Canadiens vs. Maple Leafs | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 18:39 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 09-28 03:58 | Eagles vs. Bears: O/U 44.5 | BUY | 0.4 | $7.00 |
| 09-28 00:25 | Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.0509999997 | $4.00 |
| 09-27 20:29 | Spread: Eagles (-3.5) | BUY | 0.5099999701 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 20:29 | Spread: Rams (-3.5) | BUY | 0.4099999936 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 20:28 | Ravens vs. Cowboys | BUY | 0.4499999871 | $7.00 |
| 09-27 20:28 | Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $34.39 |
| 09-27 18:45 | Spread: Chiefs (-10.5) | BUY | 0.4199999883 | $8.58 |