Sibyldfb
0x5acc4f7950736b1dd5d53a2cfdf810d98d96f973
- Realised P&L
- $-110.31
- Volume
- $5.2k
- Markets traded
- 41
- Open portfolio
- $18.63
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded41
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.745 | $18.63 | +$0.13 |
| Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.84 |
| Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$28.38 |
| Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings · Las Vegas Aces | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.23 |
| Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.23 |
| Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.24 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No | 0.530 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.38 |
| Bills vs. Texans · Texans | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.17 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.28at 0.500Will Valencia win the 2025–26 La Liga?
- +$23.76at 0.500Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$16.34at 0.258Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?
- +$8.88at 0.788Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty
- +$5.55at 0.537Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:40 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.998 | $29.97 |
| 09-21 11:40 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.74 | $18.50 |
| 09-21 11:39 | Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 01:47 | Bills vs. Texans | BUY | 0.49 | $16.17 |
| 09-07 03:48 | Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07? | BUY | 0.39 | $21.84 |
| 08-13 11:24 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York Liberty | BUY | 0.78 | $32.75 |
| 08-12 09:20 | Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000? | BUY | 0.25 | $5.50 |
| 07-27 08:13 | Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28? | BUY | 0.53 | $18.23 |
| 07-01 06:09 | Spread: Argentina (-1.5) | BUY | 0.62 | $16.24 |
| 06-18 08:39 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.53 | $17.38 |
| 05-28 08:22 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings | BUY | 0.62 | $18.23 |
| 05-12 12:14 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.991 | $26.97 |
| 05-12 12:14 | Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17? | BUY | 0.53 | $6.36 |
| 05-12 12:13 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $5.00 |
| 05-12 12:12 | Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.992 | $22.00 |