PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Sibyldfb

0x5acc4f7950736b1dd5d53a2cfdf810d98d96f973

Realised P&L
$-110.31
Volume
$5.2k
Markets traded
41
Open portfolio
$18.63

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded41
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample38 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? · Yes0.7400.745$18.63+$0.13
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07? · Yes0.3900.000$0.00$21.84
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17? · Yes0.4300.000$0.00$28.38
Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas Wings · Las Vegas Aces0.6200.000$0.00$18.23
Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$18.23
Spread: Argentina (-1.5) · Argentina0.6200.000$0.00$16.24
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? · No0.5300.000$0.00$17.38
Bills vs. Texans · Texans0.4900.000$0.00$16.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-21 11:40Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.998$29.97
09-21 11:40Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24?BUY0.74$18.50
09-21 11:39Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?BUY0.999$30.00
09-10 01:47Bills vs. TexansBUY0.49$16.17
09-07 03:48Will Getafe CF win on 2026-09-07?BUY0.39$21.84
08-13 11:24Los Angeles Sparks vs. New York LibertyBUY0.78$32.75
08-12 09:20Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 20,000-30,000?BUY0.25$5.50
07-27 08:13Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-07-28?BUY0.53$18.23
07-01 06:09Spread: Argentina (-1.5)BUY0.62$16.24
06-18 08:39Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.53$17.38
05-28 08:22Las Vegas Aces vs. Dallas WingsBUY0.62$18.23
05-12 12:14Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.991$26.97
05-12 12:14Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?BUY0.53$6.36
05-12 12:13Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$5.00
05-12 12:12Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.992$22.00