PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Talil

0x5ac8f1f3611a32bbc37cda45987ed63a2dc47062

Realised P&L
$-44.10
Volume
$1.9k
Markets traded
72
Open portfolio
$3.40

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded72
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample37 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? · Yes0.8200.815$0.99−$0.01
Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? · Yes0.9490.922$0.97−$0.03
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.8490.117$0.69−$4.31
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.5800.075$0.65−$4.35
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8000.080$0.10−$0.90
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in January? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.6000.000$0.00−$3.00
Ethereum Up or Down - October 24, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET · Down0.4020.000$0.00−$5.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2190.000$0.00−$1.00
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? · Yes0.3600.000$0.00−$1.00
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.2200.000$0.00−$10.00
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs REKONIX (BO3) - 1win Essence Group B · REKONIX0.6900.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.7100.000$0.00−$1.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1270.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-29 20:27Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch?BUY0.8199999836$1.00
09-29 20:27Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch?BUY0.9489999763$1.00
06-30 10:04Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.4399998064$1.00
06-30 10:04Will France win on 2026-06-30?BUY0.77$1.00
06-27 13:31Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0809999191$1.00
06-27 13:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1869998684$1.00
06-27 13:31Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.2189998312$1.00
06-27 13:28Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.8599999828$3.00
06-22 21:28Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?BUY0.829999982$6.00
06-21 22:03Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?BUY0.65$1.00
06-21 21:56Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.7099999432$1.00
06-16 19:25Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.6899999586$1.00
06-16 19:25Will France win on 2026-06-16?BUY0.59999994$2.00
06-12 17:00Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.5699998233$1.00
06-12 17:00Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.6$3.00