Talil
0x5ac8f1f3611a32bbc37cda45987ed63a2dc47062
- Realised P&L
- $-44.10
- Volume
- $1.9k
- Markets traded
- 72
- Open portfolio
- $3.40
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded72
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample37 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)86.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$5.64at 0.780Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$4.69at 0.810Will the price of Bitcoin be above $108,000 on October 23?
- +$4.10at 0.797Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11?
- +$1.97at 0.507Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$1.45at 0.047Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 20:27 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $1.00 |
| 09-29 20:27 | Will Jumper's FDV be greater than $75M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9489999763 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:04 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.4399998064 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 10:04 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.77 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:31 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0809999191 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1869998684 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:31 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.2189998312 | $1.00 |
| 06-27 13:28 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.8599999828 | $3.00 |
| 06-22 21:28 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.829999982 | $6.00 |
| 06-21 22:03 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22? | BUY | 0.65 | $1.00 |
| 06-21 21:56 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.7099999432 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 19:25 | Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 06-16 19:25 | Will France win on 2026-06-16? | BUY | 0.59999994 | $2.00 |
| 06-12 17:00 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.5699998233 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 17:00 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.00 |