parrishsusan
0x5ac71a83b3e522a1eb2cc17fd3c0452f43067d45
- Realised P&L
- $-32.46
- Volume
- $21.2k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $10.29
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Norway win 2026-27 Nations League Group A4? · No | 0.760 | 0.745 | $10.29 | −$0.21 |
| Lacy and Marlon beat gaming challenge by September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET? · No | 0.680 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.28at 0.550Will Linke win between 12% and 15% of all valid second votes?
- +$3.89at 0.823Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on August 28?
- +$3.65at 0.595Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in August 2026?
- +$2.53at 0.999Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by March 31?
- +$1.97at 0.796Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:07 | Will Chainlink hit $15 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 01-30 15:18 | Will Chainlink hit $21 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.32 |
| 01-30 14:29 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.95 |
| 01-30 13:09 | Will Oracle be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28? | BUY | 0.999 | $39.73 |
| 12-30 08:22 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.35 |
| 12-30 01:17 | Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.46 |
| 12-29 21:53 | Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31? | BUY | 0.9959999983 | $11.64 |
| 12-29 20:58 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | BUY | 0.997 | $31.01 |
| 12-29 19:36 | Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.65 |
| 10-31 15:51 | Will Dogecoin reach $0.30 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $28.21 |
| 10-31 15:44 | Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.83 |
| 10-31 14:53 | Will Anthropic have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.78 |
| 09-29 15:07 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.995 | $11.59 |
| 09-29 14:48 | Will Bitcoin dip to $100K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.51 |
| 09-29 06:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $130K in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.11 |