0x5abCD638230C5974cea8dcB75D7a64C3cBaF5eBF-1731635839514
0x5abcd638230c5974cea8dcb75d7a64c3cbaf5ebf
- Realised P&L
- $-410.08
- Volume
- $59.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $524.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration51.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.046 | $524.00 | −$2.5k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET · Down | 0.479 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.73 |
| Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha · Team Secret | 0.351 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.1kat 0.827US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$718.97at 0.580US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$298.59at 0.410Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
- +$26.20at 0.489Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 01:13 | Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | BUY | 0.2632059799 | $3.0k |
| 04-11 05:20 | Valorant: Team Secret vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alpha | BUY | 0.1699999972 | $47.51 |
| 04-08 15:14 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | SELL | 0.995 | $6.5k |
| 04-07 23:07 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.895199763 | $4.4k |
| 04-07 22:38 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 7? | BUY | 0.619781923 | $1000.00 |
| 04-06 03:23 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET | BUY | 0.4115253159 | $13.73 |
| 04-06 03:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | SELL | 0.8119581465 | $27.16 |
| 04-06 03:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $13.77 |
| 04-05 23:20 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $1.7k |
| 04-02 01:32 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.5799999998 | $1000.00 |
| 11-16 05:09 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | SELL | 0.4023428531 | $343.46 |
| 11-16 05:07 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.4099999996 | $350.00 |
| 11-16 05:00 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.2k |
| 11-16 04:51 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | SELL | 0.3757629773 | $1.3k |
| 11-15 02:18 | Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul? | BUY | 0.31 | $186.00 |