0x5AB7041cD9525909eDf8496DB3354687917cBF06-1769792523647
0x5ab7041cd9525909edf8496db3354687917cbf06
- Realised P&L
- $362.35
- Volume
- $31.7k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $1.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.1%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.435 | $1.4k | −$140.63 |
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? · No | 0.244 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$78.87 |
| Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance · Cabo Verde | 0.090 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$377.91at 0.746Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$108.03at 0.103Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-24.17at 0.062Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 20:22 | Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.5k |
| 07-06 07:32 | Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.7399999994 | $1.1k |
| 07-06 07:11 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.061 | $504.13 |
| 07-06 07:10 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.128 | $638.21 |
| 07-02 08:58 | Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.089999996 | $20.00 |
| 07-02 08:55 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0605000913 | $500.00 |
| 07-02 08:55 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.100280111 | $500.00 |
| 01-30 17:07 | Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of Costa Rica's presidential election? | BUY | 0.2439430249 | $78.87 |