786685
0x5ab6e97d458d8a2578507bb295cdc920d8f051e8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.32
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $123.41
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration85.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? · No | 0.996 | 1.000 | $105.42 | +$0.42 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? · No | 0.990 | 0.987 | $9.97 | −$0.03 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $8.02 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.48at 0.963Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26?
- +$0.93at 0.992Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026?
- +$0.63at 0.987 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$0.62at 0.995Ripple above $1.69 on December 6?
- +$0.56at 0.995Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-23 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in August? | BUY | 0.998 | $8.00 |
| 08-23 12:54 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in August? | BUY | 0.996 | $105.00 |
| 08-23 12:52 | Will Anthropic not IPO before 2028? | BUY | 0.99 | $10.00 |
| 06-26 10:50 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? | BUY | 0.9869999963 | $48.00 |
| 06-26 10:49 | Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.987 | $40.00 |
| 06-26 10:48 | Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.9869999999 | $33.00 |
| 05-11 12:14 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 13? | BUY | 0.995 | $120.00 |
| 02-26 09:17 | Will ZachXBT release his investigation on February 26? | BUY | 0.963 | $116.50 |
| 01-28 14:15 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from January 26 to January 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.992 | $115.57 |
| 09-20 14:43 | Meteora FDV above $10B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9699999987 | $14.76 |
| 09-20 14:43 | Farcaster airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.99 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Base airdrop in Q3 2025? | BUY | 0.9957819172 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $20.00 |
| 09-20 14:42 | Will Meteora launch a token in 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $40.00 |
| 04-05 14:24 | Will Ethereum reach $8000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $30.00 |