bretonpicks
0x5ab6d11c6a3433d59cc9742729b48ff67e38aa36
- Realised P&L
- $-283.33
- Volume
- $13.0k
- Markets traded
- 321
- Open portfolio
- $481.90
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded321
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration3.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tennessee vs. Arkansas: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.490 | 0.640 | $32.65 | +$7.65 |
| LSU vs. Kentucky: O/U 51.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.555 | $27.75 | +$2.75 |
| Spread: Falcons (-1.5) · Falcons | 0.548 | 0.595 | $27.15 | +$2.15 |
| North Dakota State vs. UNLV · UNLV | 0.420 | 0.455 | $27.08 | +$2.08 |
| Nevada vs. UTEP: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.520 | 0.550 | $26.44 | +$1.44 |
| Spread: James Madison (-7.5) · Georgia Southern | 0.510 | 0.525 | $25.74 | +$0.74 |
| Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.480 | 0.485 | $25.26 | +$0.26 |
| Spread: Air Force (-7.5) · Northern Illinois | 0.540 | 0.535 | $24.77 | −$0.23 |
| Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.505 | $24.75 | −$0.24 |
| Syracuse vs. Virginia: O/U 49.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.495 | $24.75 | −$0.25 |
| North Dakota State vs. UNLV: O/U 47.5 · Under | 0.500 | 0.495 | $24.75 | −$0.25 |
| Raiders vs. Patriots · Raiders | 0.370 | 0.365 | $24.66 | −$0.34 |
| Spread: Oregon (-11.5) · UCLA | 0.518 | 0.505 | $24.39 | −$0.61 |
| Spread: LSU (-8.5) · Kentucky | 0.500 | 0.485 | $24.25 | −$0.75 |
| USC vs. Penn State · Penn State | 0.523 | 0.505 | $24.13 | −$0.87 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.92at 0.341Colorado vs. Georgia Tech
- +$42.57at 0.370Eagles vs. Bears
- +$40.01at 0.392Memphis vs. UNLV Runnin'
- +$39.10at 0.390Baylor vs. Arizona State
- +$38.34at 0.402Washington Nationals vs. Detroit Tigers
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 20:33 | Giants vs. Commanders: O/U 41.5 | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 20:32 | Spread: Air Force (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5399999918 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 20:02 | North Dakota State vs. UNLV: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 20:02 | Syracuse vs. Virginia: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 06:03 | Nevada vs. UTEP: O/U 49.5 | BUY | 0.5199999908 | $25.00 |
| 10-10 06:03 | Old Dominion vs. Appalachian State: O/U 47.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 00:02 | Spread: James Madison (-7.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-08 00:02 | LSU vs. Kentucky: O/U 51.5 | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 07:33 | Spread: Minnesota (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 07:03 | Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | BUY | 0.489999992 | $25.00 |
| 10-07 00:03 | Spread: LSU (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 22:03 | Ravens vs. Falcons: O/U 43.5 | BUY | 0.4799999939 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 17:03 | Iowa State vs. BYU: O/U 45.5 | BUY | 0.4699999944 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 16:03 | Spread: Oregon (-11.5) | BUY | 0.5177199596 | $25.00 |
| 10-06 14:03 | Tulane vs. Army | BUY | 0.4199999966 | $25.00 |