TCBY6688
0x5ab39ab2e6cc1c214d8cf274962d81c6136143ab
- Realised P&L
- $5.4k
- Volume
- $3.63M
- Markets traded
- 1,898
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,898
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration11.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration20.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.995 | $2.0k | +$4.22 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on October 7? · No | 0.982 | 0.985 | $1.9k | +$4.59 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6? · No | 0.991 | 0.987 | $1.3k | −$4.83 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? · Yes | 0.989 | 0.997 | $1.2k | +$9.03 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? · No | 0.986 | 0.975 | $1.2k | −$13.14 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6? · Yes | 0.992 | 0.987 | $1.1k | −$6.37 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.984 | $719.30 | +$10.97 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5? · No | 0.993 | 0.992 | $486.83 | −$0.72 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 on September 20? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$69.40 |
| Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on June 12? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.31 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on July 20? · No | 0.985 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.53 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$305.60at 0.946Will Ethereum reach $1,800 June 22-28?
- +$263.23at 0.964Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?
- +$222.57at 0.986Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?
- +$210.30at 0.944Will Bitcoin dip to $78,000 September 14-20?
- +$203.61at 0.925Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in August?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 05:17 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? | BUY | 0.987 | $506.88 |
| 10-05 05:16 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? | BUY | 0.986 | $182.04 |
| 10-05 05:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 6? | BUY | 0.985 | $487.57 |
| 10-05 05:15 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? | SELL | 0.927 | $1.2k |
| 10-05 05:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9929573116 | $487.54 |
| 10-05 05:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.9889920255 | $620.10 |
| 10-05 05:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.9907830854 | $1.3k |
| 10-05 04:50 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.993 | $1.2k |
| 10-05 04:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.969 | $478.69 |
| 10-05 04:49 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.969 | $229.65 |
| 10-05 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $401.76 |
| 10-05 04:46 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 6? | BUY | 0.991 | $396.40 |
| 10-05 04:45 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 5? | BUY | 0.989 | $569.66 |
| 10-05 04:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,500 on October 6? | BUY | 0.992 | $1.1k |
| 10-05 04:40 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on October 6? | BUY | 0.937 | $42.16 |