0x5ab01d52a951e3dcb7b157132fe36ec12e524052
0x5ab01d52a951e3dcb7b157132fe36ec12e524052
- Realised P&L
- $-62.19
- Volume
- $424.42
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $17.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-14.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample19 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)47.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration81.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.845 | $14.59 | +$0.60 |
| Will DeepSeek IPO by September 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.470 | 0.660 | $3.30 | +$0.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.18at 0.606Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.47at 0.749Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$6.26at 0.490Will United States win on 2026-06-12?
- +$5.71at 0.640Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?
- +$4.57at 0.665Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 02:48 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999971 | $13.99 |
| 09-06 07:03 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.5 | $9.42 |
| 08-02 02:31 | Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? | BUY | 0.6499999853 | $8.86 |
| 07-23 23:40 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.7379999421 | $8.18 |
| 07-19 13:15 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.5909999894 | $12.27 |
| 07-12 00:27 | Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11? | BUY | 0.1549999845 | $8.30 |
| 07-10 00:56 | Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2449999838 | $11.18 |
| 07-07 15:52 | Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? | BUY | 0.7399999938 | $19.12 |
| 06-29 17:56 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.7299999978 | $10.12 |
| 06-29 11:02 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.1799999872 | $10.93 |
| 06-25 15:44 | Will United States win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.5199999772 | $10.05 |
| 06-25 15:44 | Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? | BUY | 0.6209999869 | $10.05 |
| 06-14 09:20 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $5.00 |
| 06-14 00:04 | Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.6299999483 | $10.00 |
| 06-13 12:31 | Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.5899999813 | $12.00 |