PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

guru128

0x5a9d671cff39a7bf406fda516c02cb11f24b9d37

Realised P&L
$-39.94
Volume
$11.7k
Markets traded
9
Open portfolio
$47.77

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded9
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample6 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0760.035$24.26−$29.14
Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes0.0330.017$23.51−$21.47
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes0.4800.000$0.00−$50.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-29 02:03Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.0409999998$3.00
07-19 19:30Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?BUY0.0325236336$44.98
07-19 19:23Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreBUY0.4799999981$50.00
07-17 14:28Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$50.40
07-15 21:06Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.418$79.36
07-15 20:38Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1053457562$20.00
07-15 20:16Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.11$12.10
07-12 02:31Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1819999987$100.00
07-12 01:07Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.178$111.08
07-09 21:37Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.179$52.61
07-09 20:28Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.333980949$28.22
07-09 20:25Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.3549999934$30.00
07-09 20:14Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.195$58.38
07-07 16:17Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.14$22.89
07-07 16:12Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.1799999958$30.00