guru128
0x5a9d671cff39a7bf406fda516c02cb11f24b9d37
- Realised P&L
- $-39.94
- Volume
- $11.7k
- Markets traded
- 9
- Open portfolio
- $47.77
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded9
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration46.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration50.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes | 0.076 | 0.035 | $24.26 | −$29.14 |
| Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? · Yes | 0.033 | 0.017 | $23.51 | −$21.47 |
| Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.480 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$43.10at 0.110Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.40at 0.362Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.07at 0.140Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
- +$-6.74at 0.171Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$-22.05at 0.119Will US annex any territory in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 02:03 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.0409999998 | $3.00 |
| 07-19 19:30 | Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027? | BUY | 0.0325236336 | $44.98 |
| 07-19 19:23 | Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 14:28 | Trump out as President before 2027? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.40 |
| 07-15 21:06 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.418 | $79.36 |
| 07-15 20:38 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1053457562 | $20.00 |
| 07-15 20:16 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $12.10 |
| 07-12 02:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1819999987 | $100.00 |
| 07-12 01:07 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.178 | $111.08 |
| 07-09 21:37 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.179 | $52.61 |
| 07-09 20:28 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.333980949 | $28.22 |
| 07-09 20:25 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.3549999934 | $30.00 |
| 07-09 20:14 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.195 | $58.38 |
| 07-07 16:17 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.14 | $22.89 |
| 07-07 16:12 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1799999958 | $30.00 |