0x5a961cb616d37ece544d69e8792b95e2184d1f91
0x5a961cb616d37ece544d69e8792b95e2184d1f91
- Realised P&L
- $-616.43
- Volume
- $82.2k
- Markets traded
- 57
- Open portfolio
- $490.31
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded57
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration18.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration91.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 1.000 | $447.13 | +$250.39 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.035 | $39.77 | −$460.23 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 5AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.003 | $3.41 | −$496.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 4AM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.294Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5AM ET
- +$1.5kat 0.372Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 9AM ET
- +$1.3kat 0.406Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 11AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.290Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET
- +$1.2kat 0.290Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 10AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 05:43 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 28, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.067769821 | $66.25 |
| 09-28 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.0316206266 | $88.13 |
| 09-28 05:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 1AM ET | BUY | 0.0731399328 | $58.35 |
| 09-27 09:17 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 27, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2033699634 | $55.52 |
| 09-27 09:17 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 27, 5AM ET | BUY | 0.2123244124 | $78.15 |