PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x140EF63381DCb470933ACCc894478F10FFC83c63-1773369339484

0x5a9552189bc6aedc1a948d8c8cceb85a16f7b81b

Realised P&L
$-204.23
Volume
$5.6k
Markets traded
1,428
Open portfolio
$7.59

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,428
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration30.5% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration30.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11? · Yes0.0510.117$2.30+$1.30
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11? · No0.5300.615$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11? · Yes0.2900.335$1.16+$0.16
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11? · Yes0.4500.470$1.04+$0.04
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11? · Yes0.4500.445$0.99−$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11? · Yes0.3700.345$0.93−$0.07
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET · Down0.4700.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET · Up0.4600.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET · Down0.5800.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET · Down0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET · Down0.5300.000$0.00−$2.00
Ethereum Up or Down - June 25, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET · Up0.5000.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET · Down0.6100.000$0.00−$1.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-10 11:03Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 11?SELL0.005$0.26
10-10 11:02Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 11?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-10 09:03Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 11?BUY0.4499998425$1.00
10-10 08:54Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on October 11?BUY0.2899999884$1.00
10-10 08:41Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 11?BUY0.3699999593$1.00
10-10 08:06Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?SELL0.94$1.90
10-10 06:14Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 28°C on October 11?BUY0.019$1.00
10-10 06:13Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 11?BUY0.0509999978$1.00
10-10 06:11Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 11?BUY0.5299998463$1.00
10-10 06:09Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?SELL0.55$3.33
10-10 06:07Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?SELL0.34$0.65
10-10 05:54Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?SELL0.95$1.48
10-09 12:45Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 30°C on October 10?BUY0.5199999792$1.00
10-09 12:44Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 29°C on October 10?BUY0.1238095097$1.00
10-09 12:44Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on October 10?BUY0.64$1.00