Frezer199
0x5a8cca4e457339e51bb4abc85ed9eb955da414aa
- Realised P&L
- $-80.42
- Volume
- $1.8k
- Markets traded
- 90
- Open portfolio
- $82.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded90
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.41at 0.400Will Wes Streeting be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?
- +$4.21at 0.190Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- +$2.43at 0.605Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
- +$1.81at 0.847Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?
- +$1.74at 0.840Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 07:50 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | BUY | 0.4299999298 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 07:49 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | BUY | 0.7299999416 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 18:11 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | BUY | 0.3599999376 | $3.00 |
| 08-01 16:42 | Israel closes its airspace by August 31? | BUY | 0.32 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 17:51 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999595 | $3.00 |
| 07-29 17:49 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | BUY | 0.5299999505 | $3.00 |
| 07-24 15:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.8399998944 | $7.00 |
| 07-24 15:11 | Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.851 | $6.24 |
| 07-24 08:48 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.1099999913 | $10.00 |
| 07-24 08:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | SELL | 0.77 | $10.40 |
| 07-23 21:24 | Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999759 | $5.00 |
| 07-23 16:54 | Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8469999929 | $10.00 |
| 07-22 21:16 | Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? | BUY | 0.599999976 | $5.00 |
| 07-22 19:30 | Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? | BUY | 0.8199999836 | $2.00 |
| 07-22 17:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25? | BUY | 0.7399999349 | $10.00 |