PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Frezer199

0x5a8cca4e457339e51bb4abc85ed9eb955da414aa

Realised P&L
$-80.42
Volume
$1.8k
Markets traded
90
Open portfolio
$82.72

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded90
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)63.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration13.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Darryn Peterson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.1680.185$11.04+$1.03
Will Cameron Boozer win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · Yes0.2200.225$10.23+$0.23
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? · Yes0.5800.570$9.83$0.17
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.1040.075$7.89$3.11
Mike Vrabel out as Patriots Head Coach by Dec 31, 2026? · Yes0.1270.090$7.81$3.19
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3710.200$7.00$6.00
Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East? · No0.6000.595$4.96$0.04
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? · Yes0.1700.120$3.53$1.47
Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? · No0.7300.705$2.90$0.10
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? · No0.4300.395$2.76$0.25
Will San Antonio Spurs win the 2027 NBA Finals? · Yes0.1950.205$2.10+$0.10
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.7600.530$2.09$0.91
Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year? · No0.8200.790$1.93$0.07
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.5300.315$1.78$1.22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · No0.5400.655$1.21+$0.21

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 07:50US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?BUY0.4299999298$3.00
08-02 07:49Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.7299999416$3.00
08-01 18:11Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.3599999376$3.00
08-01 16:42Israel closes its airspace by August 31?BUY0.32$3.00
07-29 17:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7599999595$3.00
07-29 17:49Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?BUY0.5299999505$3.00
07-24 15:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.8399998944$7.00
07-24 15:11Will Jalen Duren play for the Detroit Pistons in 2026-27?SELL0.851$6.24
07-24 08:48Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?BUY0.1099999913$10.00
07-24 08:47Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?SELL0.77$10.40
07-23 21:24Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027?BUY0.1699999759$5.00
07-23 16:54Total Internet Blackout in Iran by July 31, 2026?BUY0.8469999929$10.00
07-22 21:16Will New England Patriots win the 2026 AFC East?BUY0.599999976$5.00
07-22 19:30Will Caleb Wilson win the 2026-27 NBA Rookie of the Year?BUY0.8199999836$2.00
07-22 17:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 25?BUY0.7399999349$10.00