Gmd05
0x5a8c4d75d1441c237e8107efc5a1a7709620a442
- Realised P&L
- $-3.33
- Volume
- $4.0k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $28.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample13 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration45.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.183 | 0.162 | $13.25 | −$1.75 |
| Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? · Yes | 0.371 | 0.905 | $12.18 | +$7.18 |
| Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes | 0.019 | 0.006 | $3.42 | −$6.58 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? · Yes | 0.485 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.98 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? · Yes | 0.291 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$42.64 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$31.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? · Yes | 0.424 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$57.55 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? · Yes | 0.345 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$34.69 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$97.41at 0.170Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$89.81at 0.361Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
- +$38.74at 0.360Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
- +$14.08at 0.872Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
- +$2.89at 0.090Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 00:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April? | BUY | 0.16 | $13.99 |
| 04-13 00:44 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.25 | $9.40 |
| 04-13 00:43 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.3499999842 | $9.48 |
| 04-09 23:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.2699999681 | $4.71 |
| 04-09 23:01 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $125 in April? | BUY | 0.2 | $14.04 |
| 04-09 23:00 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in April? | BUY | 0.43 | $16.42 |
| 04-08 19:11 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April? | BUY | 0.1799999928 | $18.69 |
| 04-08 19:09 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.3499999918 | $14.22 |
| 04-08 18:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | SELL | 0.68 | $69.26 |
| 04-08 18:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.32 | $23.64 |
| 04-07 05:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $18.70 |
| 04-07 05:07 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $110 in April? | BUY | 0.1699999913 | $14.94 |
| 04-04 22:58 | Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? | BUY | 0.3713838717 | $5.00 |
| 03-12 00:44 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | BUY | 0.118000001 | $15.00 |
| 03-10 04:51 | Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | BUY | 0.2699999896 | $15.00 |