weishenmemeiyih
0x5a8afb91b9cacda2c8665fdbf9c4f582e360dd02
- Realised P&L
- $-13.35
- Volume
- $9.7k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $14.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? · Yes | 0.999 | 0.996 | $14.95 | −$0.04 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 19? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.19 |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026? · Yes | 0.171 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on December 19? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.16 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $100,000 October 27-November 2? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 30? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.75 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$63.54at 0.754Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
- +$63.17at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on April 12?
- +$62.80at 0.750Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on April 17?
- +$7.00at 0.300Chargers vs. Chiefs
- +$0.58at 0.751Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on April 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-10 09:15 | Will the iPhone 18 Pro cost at least $1150? | BUY | 0.9989999345 | $15.00 |
| 09-10 09:08 | Will the ECB announce a 50+ bps increase at the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 08-28 13:17 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.9979999455 | $16.00 |
| 07-23 09:36 | Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.00 |
| 06-12 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.30 |
| 06-12 06:05 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on June 12? | BUY | 0.9989993613 | $1.22 |
| 06-12 06:05 | Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.14 |
| 06-12 06:05 | Iran leadership change by June 30? | BUY | 0.9659996426 | $1.00 |
| 06-12 06:04 | Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 12? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.15 |
| 06-12 06:04 | Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.9969999985 | $1.30 |
| 06-12 06:04 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.11 |
| 06-12 06:04 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.18 |
| 06-12 06:03 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another country? | BUY | 0.9969999992 | $1.20 |
| 06-12 06:03 | Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.22 |
| 06-05 01:59 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 5? | BUY | 0.998999993 | $125.00 |