0x5A8951687D8F8fa5Bc1d856017dd88253aBab1c2-1779272812884
0x5a8951687d8f8fa5bc1d856017dd88253abab1c2
- Realised P&L
- $-30.56
- Volume
- $67.2k
- Markets traded
- 175
- Open portfolio
- $707.52
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded175
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$90.76at 0.537Will Canada win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?
- +$45.43at 0.312Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 2?
- +$32.28at 0.744Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
- +$26.53at 0.284Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
- +$19.83at 0.345Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-11 06:51 | Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999987 | $69.55 |
| 08-11 06:50 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1474289549 | $30.00 |
| 08-10 15:02 | Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.5602738076 | $102.31 |
| 08-10 15:00 | Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.1127644134 | $14.36 |
| 07-31 00:08 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.232 | $11.03 |
| 07-29 10:29 | Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.8409999987 | $40.00 |
| 07-29 10:26 | Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.4 | $42.40 |
| 07-29 08:23 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |
| 07-20 17:15 | Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.0789999685 | $2.27 |
| 07-15 07:54 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.7153356134 | $100.00 |
| 07-15 07:45 | Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $94.68 |
| 07-11 06:57 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0012074506 | $4.34 |
| 07-06 11:45 | Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0139243546 | $50.00 |
| 07-03 09:22 | Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Egypt? | BUY | 0.0129999873 | $1.00 |
| 07-03 09:20 | Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? | BUY | 0.7143644565 | $90.00 |