ProfessionalGambler
0x5a88642e5a39e15d2882d1815dda1af55c9d5e32
- Realised P&L
- $-7.30
- Volume
- $97.3k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $1.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? · Yes | 0.115 | 0.095 | $1.7k | −$344.61 |
| Putin out as President of Russia in 2025? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$530.42 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$545.31at 0.090Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
- +$50.48at 0.350Will Russia abandon Syrian naval base before April?
- +$44.20at 0.110Will China invade Taiwan in 2025?
- +$-45.64at 0.121New pandemic before July?
- +$-71.23at 0.070Human to human bird flu transmission before February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-27 13:40 | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.20 |
| 07-13 14:59 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.09 | $606.51 |
| 05-10 04:11 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.12 | $644.74 |
| 03-12 13:33 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.11 | $50.55 |
| 03-08 03:13 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.11 | $435.69 |
| 12-20 15:53 | New pandemic before July? | BUY | 0.13 | $178.60 |
| 12-14 00:35 | New pandemic before July? | BUY | 0.14 | $25.04 |
| 12-12 00:22 | New pandemic before July? | BUY | 0.12 | $24.00 |