y111m11
0x5a7f0a60c1c15d884e7efba73948bdd56245079b
- Realised P&L
- $-522.84
- Volume
- $1.03M
- Markets traded
- 1,048
- Open portfolio
- $322.26
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,048
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration25.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? · No | 0.948 | 1.000 | $322.26 | +$16.50 |
| Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · No | 0.878 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$872.63 |
| Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026? · Yes | 0.886 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$178.85 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from August 7 to August 14, 2026? · Yes | 0.916 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$188.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$650.51at 0.620Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?
- +$225.06at 0.838Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?
- +$224.04at 0.991Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?
- +$189.11at 0.696Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 33°C on May 2?
- +$179.20at 0.876Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-16 15:57 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $195.82 |
| 10-16 15:57 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | SELL | 0.999 | $196.80 |
| 10-16 15:48 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $3.8k |
| 10-16 15:46 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.85 | $34.00 |
| 10-16 15:45 | Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 9 to October 16, 2026? | BUY | 0.8994738214 | $75.93 |
| 10-14 13:41 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.9966141531 | $1.2k |
| 10-14 04:50 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 14? | SELL | 0.999 | $257.83 |
| 10-13 15:18 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.994 | $390.39 |
| 10-13 15:08 | Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.0k |
| 10-13 15:08 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9898340218 | $606.20 |
| 10-13 14:58 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.989 | $159.23 |
| 10-13 14:56 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $224.05 |
| 10-13 14:55 | Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $199.37 |
| 10-13 04:45 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on October 13? | SELL | 0.999 | $801.20 |
| 10-10 15:56 | Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from October 8 to October 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $315.37 |